Originally posted by DuaneG An updated ES chart......the next few days look to be very interesting....
As always, any thoughts, comments, or additional charts are welcomed....
Sorry I haven't had time to post since returning from vacation. Only have a few moments, so will be brief....
The SP-- as well as the Dow Industrial and Nasdaq-- is (are) finally entering a critical junction where stronger 'profit-taking' is imminent.
The only thing, I think, which keeps this from happening is if we can get another strong wave of selling in the Energy futures contracts
like we did yesterday. (There still is a good possibly this could happen.) If energy sells off within two weeks, the SP will establish a
temporary bottom and build for a strong 'oversold' condition rally.
That is my quick guess....
Hope to get more time soon to come back and visit again.
Here is a 'quick look' Dow chart.... Notice since the orginal post back on 6-1-04 it rallied into the Normal Ellipse
and it held. Interesting.... watching for same scenario as with SP500 contract.
Look at the weekly ES...there is a clear down channel line that hasn't really been violated on a daily basis. Explains a lot of the recent action (been very playable). Doesn't mean it will not break someday (in fact it will at some point in time), but it looks pretty strong.
Originally posted by MR - Posted: 08-05-2004 05:54 PM The SP-- as well as the Dow Industrial and Nasdaq--
is (are) finally entering a critical junction where stronger
'profit-taking' is imminent....
Monitor next week for any selling off in energy futures complex.
IF it happens, we might get a temporary reprieve.
Have a good weekend,
Here are CPS and EVG previous post
comment with current follow-up charts...
they did go up a couple bucks afterwards,
but then broke down... is why I like to use
6/4 DMA's as guides, always keeping an
eye on potential divergence building.
Again, this was just very quick trade idea
when posted, not a typical Type 1 buy.
Here is an update where I was totally wrong in my impressions. I even bought GM with real money and took a loss on it.
Then later I commented on follow-up parameters to watch for, and even that did not pan out.
I wanted to show you this follow-up chart to show how the Ellipse study can be helpful for 'directional guidance.'
When 'time and price' converge with the the Ellipse arrival, if it does not stop the swing move, it strongly suggests that swing will continue.
(is why I had to stand aside since)....
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